Similar to the Hillsborough County Schools blunder (see post below) on expected student population for 2006-07, the NOAA is now predicting fewer tropical storms for this season.
"Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Tuesday said they now think this hurricane season will produce slightly fewer tropical storms and hurricanes than they forecast in May."
Now, for those who are counting, we've only had 3 so far this year - as opposed to 28 for all of 2005's season. So, we're way ahead of the curve, right? Not so fast, my friend....
"Three tropical storms have formed since the season's start on June 1. None became hurricanes. However, the most active part of the season runs from mid-August into October."
And really, the decreased forecast seems like a "drop in the bucket" (excuse the pun), really.
"NOAA's new forecast reduced the number of tropical storms and hurricanes by one from its May prediction. Forecasters now expect 12 to 15 tropical storms and seven to nine hurricanes."
I wonder how our good friends in the homeowner's insurance business will treat this news. (I'm picturing nerds in Hartford and NYC hi-fiving each other and planning their next exotic vacations with the bonuses they'll get from record profits this year)
Full Link: Lowered Hurricane Forecast for 2006